6/3/2009 8:05:06 PM by Fthenorm
I have a .4 unit bet on Gonzo to win the French Open that will pay 40 units if he wins. It appears he has a decent shot at Soderling in the semis but his chances of overtaking fed in the finals will be difficult. I seek a strategy to take at least 10-15 units profit out of this (maybe more/ maybe less), regardless of if Gonzo wins it all or not. Considering the extent of potential chalk Fed may offer in a Gonzo/Fed Final (remember it was -800/+425 ish when they met in australia a few years ago, though...
6/1/2009 9:00:00 PM by Fthenorm
Not new to SBR, just not a regular poster. I browse daily and am an avid tennis, baseball, hockey, basketball and football fan and gambler. Now on to business..
Is bodog the only site to offer a line on the fed/monfils match (at 2pst)? I am surprised as hell to see it at +300 and am considering hitting it hard (figured it to be +200 to +250). Looking to compare it to something as it was posted much higher than I had originally anticipated.
Any thoughts on this before other sites post lines? The value is absolutely in Monfils at +300. For those who have closely followed this year's FO, there is little need to explain why. His knee has not inhibited his movement at all, especially in the AROD match. Fed's desire and occasional resilence may prevail, but if this game is played 3 times, there is little doubt Monfils would take at least one on this stage and surface/relative to current forms.
Any contributing thoughts would be welcomed.